One earthquake expert warns that just because an earthquake hasn’t struck since 1884 doesn’t mean it wouldn’t, New York City’s risk of being struck is high.
“We tend to think of seismic activity as a West Coast problem,” Kathryn Miles wrote for the New York Post. “But New York, which is actually riddled with faults, has a long history of earthquakes: On average, the region has witnessed a moderate quake (about a 5.0 on the Richter scale) every hundred years. The last one was in 1884. Seismologists say we can expect the next one any day now.”
Geologist Charles Merguerian claimed the blame lies on 125th Street in NYC, also known as the Manhattanville Fault.
“All we can do is look at the record, and the record is that there was a relatively large earthquake here in the city in 1737, and in 1884, and that periodicity is about 150-year heat cycle,” he stated. “So you have 1737, 1884, 20– and, we’re getting there. But statistics can lie.”
“An earthquake could happen any day, or it couldn’t happen for 100 years, and you just don’t know, there’s no way to predict,” he said.
Miles pointed out that Ramapo Fault, that goes through New Jersey and Pennsylvania, can cause an earthquake of 7.0 strength, that could damage New York City.
Miles claimed, “New York City has 6,000 unreinforced masonry buildings that would collapse in a 7.0 quake.”
He stated that even a medium sized earthquake might cause serious problems, like losses estimated at $39 billion and over 30 million tons of debris.
Even though some seismic activities occurred in New York City in recent years, no damage has been recorded.
Anyhow in Rockaway Beach in Queens, a 5.0 quake occurred in 1884. The earthquake rocked the Brooklyn Bridge and was felt over 70,000 square miles.
And in the end, it is important to think of the unthinkable, According to Merguerian.
“We just have no consciousness towards earthquakes in the eastern United States,” he stated.” “And that’s a big mistake.”
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